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US StockFebruary 17, 2026

The House Always Wins: Why Cboe Global Markets Is Capturing the 24-Hour Trading Revolution

CBOECBOE
US Stock

Key Summary

Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) has surged 3.3% amid strong technical momentum and a strategic pivot to 24-hour trading for the Russell 2000. With an RSI of 65.13 and a high analysis score, the exchange operator is leveraging volatility and global liquidity demand to redefine its growth trajectory.

In the grand casino of global finance, there is an old adage that suggests the smartest investment isn’t necessarily the gambler at the table, but the house that collects the rake. Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) has long held this enviable position, serving as the engine room for volatility and options trading. However, looking at the recent price action—a robust 3.3% surge—and the evolving landscape of market mechanics, it is becoming clear that Cboe is not merely resting on its legacy as the creator of the VIX. It is actively reshaping how, and more importantly when, the world trades. For investors observing the ticker today, the confluence of strong technical indicators and aggressive operational expansion suggests that this exchange operator is entering a new phase of structural growth, one that deserves a much closer look than a simple earnings scan might provide.

To understand the current enthusiasm surrounding the stock, one must first look under the hood at the technicals, which are currently painting a picture of disciplined aggression. The stock currently sits with a 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 65.13. For the uninitiated, the RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. An RSI above 70 is typically considered "overbought," suggesting the stock might be due for a pullback, while an RSI below 30 is "oversold." Cboe’s reading of 65.13 is what technicians often refer to as the "sweet spot." It indicates strong, healthy buying pressure that is driving the price upward, yet it has not yet reached the euphoric, irrational levels that usually precede a correction. This suggests that the recent 3.3% price increase is not a flash in the pan, but rather a movement supported by sustained accumulation. Investors are buying with conviction, but they haven't yet exhausted their purchasing power.

Complementing this momentum is an Analysis Score of 73. While proprietary scores vary by brokerage and firm, a score in the mid-70s generally represents a "Buy" or "Strong Hold" territory, indicating that the company is outperforming a significant majority of its peers in terms of financial health, earnings consistency, and technical strength. This score implies that the market isn't just trading Cboe on speculation; it is rewarding the company for fundamental solidity. When you combine an RSI of 65 with a high composite score, you are typically looking at a stock that is trending upwards with fundamental justification—a scenario that momentum traders and value investors alike find attractive.

But numbers on a screen are merely the shadows of real-world events. The catalyst driving this renewed interest appears to be Cboe’s aggressive expansion into the 24-hour trading cycle. According to the latest reports, Cboe Global Markets has launched nearly 24-hour trading in the Russell 2000 Index as of mid-February 2026. This is not just a minor operational tweak; it is a fundamental shift in market structure. The Russell 2000, which tracks small-cap US companies, is a vital gauge of the domestic American economy. By opening this index to round-the-clock trading, Cboe is effectively capturing the Asian and European trading sessions, allowing global investors to hedge or speculate on the US economy regardless of their time zone.

This move addresses a growing demand for constant liquidity. In an era where macroeconomic news breaks on social media in real-time, waiting for the New York opening bell to adjust a portfolio is becoming an antiquated concept for sophisticated traders. By facilitating 24-hour access, Cboe increases its transaction volumes—the lifeblood of any exchange’s revenue model. More hours mean more trades, and more trades mean more fees. This expansion is particularly savvy because small-cap stocks tend to be more volatile than their large-cap counterparts. Volatility drives volume, and by extending the hours for the Russell 2000, Cboe is essentially widening the net to catch volatility whenever and wherever it occurs.

Furthermore, the company has maintained its commitment to returning capital to shareholders, recently declaring its first-quarter 2026 dividend. While dividend announcements are often viewed as routine housekeeping, in the context of a growth-focused financial stock, they serve a dual purpose. First, they provide a floor for the stock price; institutional investors are far less likely to abandon a stock that pays them to wait. Second, it signals management's confidence in their cash flow. Expanding trading hours and infrastructure requires capital expenditure. The fact that Cboe is simultaneously launching new 24-hour products while maintaining its dividend payout schedule suggests that their balance sheet is robust enough to fund innovation without sacrificing shareholder returns.

Taking a step back to analyze the broader industry trends, Cboe’s position becomes even more intriguing. We are living in the golden age of derivatives. The rise of retail trading and the institutional adoption of sophisticated hedging strategies have caused options volumes to explode over the last few years. The "zero days to expiration" (0DTE) options phenomenon has transformed the market, creating massive daily turnover. Cboe, as the home of the SPX options and the VIX franchise, is the primary beneficiary of this trend. Unlike a traditional bank that takes credit risk, or an asset manager that relies on asset appreciation, Cboe benefits from market churn. Whether the market goes up or down is less important to Cboe than the fact that the market is moving.

This brings us back to the technical setup. The recent 3.3% jump likely reflects the market's realization that the 24-hour trading initiative will accretive to earnings faster than anticipated. When a stock rises on news of operational expansion, it is a sign of "good quality" price action. Contrast this with a stock rising solely on takeover rumors or a short squeeze. The former is sustainable; the latter is fragile. The RSI of 65.13 tells us that the "smart money" is accumulating shares in anticipation of higher future volumes. They are betting that the global appetite for US small-cap exposure, combined with the ability to trade it from Tokyo, London, or Frankfurt, will drive a material increase in Cboe’s top line.

However, no investment is without risk, and a balanced analysis requires us to look at the potential headwinds. The primary risk for Cboe remains regulatory scrutiny. As trading becomes faster and more accessible (24/7), regulators like the SEC are keeping a close watch on market stability. If 24-hour trading leads to flash crashes or liquidity crises during illiquid overnight hours, regulatory clampdowns could follow, potentially curbing the very volumes Cboe is trying to cultivate. Additionally, the exchange space is fiercely competitive. CME Group and Nasdaq are formidable rivals, each vying for the same pool of global liquidity. Cboe must ensure its technology stack is flawless; in the world of high-frequency trading, a nanosecond of latency or a system outage can destroy a reputation built over decades.

Moreover, while the RSI is bullish, it is approaching the 70 threshold. Investors should be aware that stocks rarely move in a straight line. If the RSI pushes significantly above 70 in the coming sessions, we might see a short-term consolidation or a minor pullback as traders lock in profits from this recent leg up. This should not necessarily be viewed as a sell signal, but rather as a natural respiration of the market. Given the Analysis Score of 73, any dip would likely be viewed by analysts as a buying opportunity rather than a sign of structural deterioration.

It is also worth noting the psychological aspect of investing in Cboe. In times of geopolitical uncertainty or economic ambiguity, the "fear gauge" (VIX) becomes the most watched index in the world. Cboe owns the VIX. This gives the stock a defensive characteristic that is rare in the financial sector. When markets crash, volume on Cboe products often spikes, providing a natural hedge for a portfolio that might be heavy in traditional equities. The expansion into 24-hour trading for the Russell 2000 enhances this defensive quality, as it allows the exchange to monetize panic or hedging activity that occurs outside of standard US business hours.

In conclusion, Cboe Global Markets presents a compelling case for the modern investor. It is a company that has successfully bridged the gap between traditional exchange mechanics and the modern demand for 24/7 liquidity. The technical indicators—specifically the RSI of 65.13 and the Analysis Score of 73—confirm that the stock is currently enjoying strong momentum backed by solid fundamentals. The recent price appreciation of 3.3% is validated by the strategic news of expanding Russell 2000 trading hours and the continued reliability of its dividend policy.

For those holding the stock, the current setup suggests staying the course, as the momentum has not yet reached exhaustion levels. For those looking to enter, Cboe represents a unique intersection of growth and defense—a way to invest in the mechanics of the market itself. As the lines between day and night trading blur, Cboe is positioning itself to be the toll booth that never closes. While short-term volatility is always possible, especially as the stock digests its recent gains, the long-term trajectory appears to be pointing upward, driven by a relentless global demand for access, hedging, and liquidity.

This report is an analysis prepared by InverseOne. The final responsibility for investment decisions lies with the investor. This report is for reference only and not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.