The Expectation Score: Five Signals in One Number
There are many indicators to check, and they often disagree. The expectation score is InverseOne's summary number for this problem. It shows how many reasons to expect a recovery overlap on one stock, on a scale from 0 to 100.
The five components
The score is a weighted sum of five signals: upside room to the 52-week high (30 points), bottom range position via the neglect index (28), value with PER 12 or below and PBR 1 or below (16), today's money direction (16), and same-day leadership (10). Everything is computed from public data, and the same data always yields the same score.
The design intent is simple: give high scores to stocks that are pressed down (bottom range, cheap) while money starts to circulate again (inflow, leadership). It is a score built to catch the moment things flip.
How to read the number
Above the low 70s, several signals overlap at once. But do not read the total alone; look at which signals built it. A 74 driven by upside room and a 74 driven by money inflow have different characters. That is why candidate lists attach reason chips next to the score.
A low score does not mean a bad company. A blue chip near its high loses upside and bottom-range points by construction. The score measures the attractiveness of the current position, not the quality of the business.
The limits, stated plainly
The score uses only price and volume derivatives. Earnings outlooks, news, and industry change are not in it. Use it as a first filter to narrow candidates, and check filings and news before any final judgment. The full calculation is public on the methodology page.
Frequently asked questions
- Does a high score mean the stock will rise?
- Do not read it that way. The score is not a prediction; it summarizes how many signals overlap. Use it as a priority signal for which stocks to research first.
- When does the score update?
- Once a day, in a batch based on the prior session's close. Intraday moves are not reflected.
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Related guides
The money flow and stock signals this service shows are estimated, for-reference information based on price and volume. It is not a solicitation to buy or sell any security, nor investment advice. It is a prior-close daily batch, not real-time quotes, and all investment decisions and responsibility are your own. The Trade button is a convenience link to your chosen brokerage's app/website; orders are placed directly at the brokerage and InverseOne is not involved in any order.